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Email us your thoughts at or share them via the Talking Politics page. How will I know You will receive a letter in the mail about a month before your membership is up reminding you to renew. There is no place for me to check online to see when my membership is up for renewal. Episode four kicks off with two, to my mind, equally exciting things: England is moving ahead in the World Cup, and Lucille is wearing a truly incredible hat. In light of all that, might the 2023 Sumner Tunnel Closure go down in the annals of Massachusetts history as a rare transportation victory? And what lessons might the Sumner project and the messaging around it hold for the future? Adam Reilly discusses with Abdallah Fayyad, an opinion writer at the Boston Globe who authors its transportation newsletter, and Chris Dempsey, a former state assistant secretary of transportation and former head of Transportation for Massachusetts. WGBH PO Box 55875 Boston, MA 02205 Is the website secure Yes The URL at the top of the webpage has an https security tag. Call The Midwife Season 10 Episode 4 Recap: Always Be My Baby. But an accident and shocking announcements threaten the stability and. ![]() For example, the use of MBTA parking garages has radically increased, and ridership is up on the (currently) free Blue Line, discounted Newburyport/Rockport Commuter Rail. In Grantchester Season 8, now airing on MASTERPIECE, Will is happy, and Geordie and Cathy content in their relationship. That, in turn, may be due to the scores of commuters who've opted to take some of the expanded, reduced-fare, or entirely free public-transit options implemented prior to the closure. Now, two weeks into the Sumner shutdown, drivers are certainly feeling some pain, but the delays haven't been quite as apocalyptic as many expected. I made a donation but did not receive an email with an activation code. How to reset your access for your Passport benefit. (president of WGBH), John Macy (president of CPB). GBH Passport: This new member benefit provides streaming access to thousands of hours of your favorite public television shows, including full seasons of many past and current series. The PBS Passport activation code was not in the email I received. The Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) is an American public broadcaster and non-commercial. In the run-up to the closure of the Sumner Tunnel, which began on July 5 and is slated to last through August 31, officials warned the ensuing traffic delays would be massive, and that drivers should give themselves an abundance of extra time when commuting and traveling to Logan Airport. Email notifications of the latest WGBH programs and events Discounts and special invitations Create A Basic. 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8/24/2023 0 Comments A typewriter keyboard![]() The first theorem is shown similarly one can divide the random string into nonoverlapping blocks matching the size of the desired text, and make E k the event where the kth block equals the desired string. The probability that infinitely many of the E k occur is 1. Because each block is typed independently, the chance X n of not typing banana in any of the first n blocks of 6 letters is Less than one in 15 billion, but not zero.įrom the above, the chance of not typing banana in a given block of 6 letters is 1 − (1/50) 6. Therefore, the probability of the first six letters spelling banana is The chance that the first letter typed is 'b' is 1/50, and the chance that the second letter typed is 'a' is also 1/50, and so on. Suppose that the keys are pressed randomly and independently, meaning that each key has an equal chance of being pressed regardless of what keys had been pressed previously. For example, if the chance of rain in Moscow on a particular day in the future is 0.4 and the chance of an earthquake in San Francisco on any particular day is 0.00003, then the chance of both happening on the same day is 0.4 × 0.00003 = 0.000012, assuming that they are indeed independent.Ĭonsider the probability of typing the word banana on a typewriter with 50 keys. As an introduction, recall that if two events are statistically independent, then the probability of both happening equals the product of the probabilities of each one happening independently. There is a straightforward proof of this theorem. In the early 20th century, Borel and Arthur Eddington used the theorem to illustrate the timescales implicit in the foundations of statistical mechanics. Jorge Luis Borges traced the history of this idea from Aristotle's On Generation and Corruption and Cicero's De Natura Deorum (On the Nature of the Gods), through Blaise Pascal and Jonathan Swift, up to modern statements with their iconic simians and typewriters. One of the earliest instances of the use of the "monkey metaphor" is that of French mathematician Émile Borel in 1913, but the first instance may have been even earlier. Variants of the theorem include multiple and even infinitely many typists, and the target text varies between an entire library and a single sentence. In this context, "almost surely" is a mathematical term meaning the event happens with probability 1, and the "monkey" is not an actual monkey, but a metaphor for an abstract device that produces an endless random sequence of letters and symbols. The theorem can be generalized to state that any sequence of events which has a non-zero probability of happening will almost certainly eventually occur, given unlimited time. In fact, the monkey would almost surely type every possible finite text an infinite number of times. The infinite monkey theorem states that a monkey hitting keys at random on a typewriter keyboard for an infinite amount of time will almost surely type any given text, including the complete works of William Shakespeare. 8/24/2023 0 Comments Bpn endo pump![]() We would like to provide you the 5 star experience our customers constantly prepare for. Whether you've searched for a plumber near me or regional plumbing professional, you've found the very best place. We are here for you for any emergency scenario 24 Hr a day, 7 days a week. Our expert specialists are capable of handling any domestic or company plumbing task, despite its size. 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She thinks that this persistence at a task is one of the key things that help optimists to become more successful in life, because they simply try harder and stick with things for longer. What she found was that optimistic people were more likely to spend time trying to solve it and not to give up. In her case she would give them a variety of anagrams, including one which is impossible to solve. For example, there is one simple experiment that she had done which we also replicated in my own laboratory, which is to give people a questionnaire so you can divide the groups into optimists and pessimists. But Segerstrom makes the strong point that optimism is also about what you do. A lot of self-help books make the assumption that optimism and pessimism is all about the way we think. One of the things that she has found out through her research, and what she writes about in her book, is that optimism isn’t just about thinking. Segerstrom is one of the top psychologists working on optimism and pessimism. The Glass Half-Full by Suzanne Segerstrom takes those scientific studies further, and shows us that being an optimist can help you get ahead in life. So that is another way of picking up a positive or negative thinking style, but based very much on neural activity. The interesting thing is that you also find that pattern in monkeys and a lot of primates. Conversely, when they are more anxious or fearful you find more activity in the right-hand side of the brain. There has been a finding that, generally speaking, when people are in a more positive state you find far more activity in the left-hand side of the brain. This basically just measures the electrical activity in the brain. We can use something called EEG – which is electroencephalography. How do you go about actually seeing what is going on in someone’s brain? This is what psychologists call a trait measure – a predisposition to respond in a particular way. ![]() So if I measure how your brain reacts to something, the chances are you will have a similar reaction a few months down the line. The interesting thing is that those patterns of activity are also fairly enduring within the same individuals. And you can find different patterns of brain activity going on. For example, I might ask people to look at particular scenes or to watch short video clips of, say, something very positive and happy or something negative. We can look at what happens when people are observing or thinking about very positive or negative things. Another way of assessing this is by looking at what is actually happening in people’s brains. ![]() How they respond determines whether they can be viewed as an optimist or a pessimist. It is 10 simple questions asking people how they feel about the future in terms of positive or negative. One is the Life Orientation Test, which is seen as the standard measure of optimism. And there are a lot of standardised questionnaires we can use. One way we can do it is by simply asking people – either talking to them or doing a structured interview. How do you think we can scientifically work out if someone is an optimist or not? So an optimist is someone who is aware that even though things are likely to go wrong occasionally, they will be able to cope with them. That optimism is having a generally positive feeling about how things are going to work out, but not necessarily believing that everything is going to work out perfectly for you. But the kind of optimism that psychological research shows is actually of benefit is more of a realistic optimism. One is that a lot of people think that optimism is about being overly positive about everything and believing that everything is going to turn out very well. But there are a number of issues which are important to distinguish. Optimism is really about having a very positive attitude towards the future. Foreign Policy & International Relations. |
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